Apple Clears A (Low) Bar

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What's going on?

The worlds most valuable public company, Apple, has seen happier moments. Its profit fell 27% as it sold about 15% fewer iPhones versus one year ago. Still, its stock jumped more than 5% as its second quarter results beat investors (low) expectations and the company stressed the importance of its growing services division.

What does this mean?

The first thing to mention is that the second quarter is usually Apples weakest: the iPhone product cycle begins in September and so sales tend to be lowest in the months leading up to that. Nevertheless, iPhone sales are shrinking and thats a problem for Apple since they make up about two-thirds of its revenue. On apositive front, Apples services revenue (e.g. from iTunes or Apple Pay) increased 19% versus one year ago. As Goldman Sachs pointed out 8 months ago, the stickier revenue that Apple gains from the services within its ecosystem (e.g. Apple Musics subscription model) could be very good for the stock price in the future.

Why should I care?

For the stock: Investors clamouring for the next big thing might be missing the point.
Some investors think Apple will suffer a lot if it isnt able to invent another revolutionary product like the iPhone – but thats pretty hard to do. Others, like Warren Buffett, are betting on it being a much more stable generator of profits than a Hail Mary-like strategy would suggest. Its services stream is one such example. Relatedly, it could benefit via its HomeKit division from the burgeoning Internet of Things (think: Hey Siri, turn off the lights).


For you personally: The average cost of the iPhone is dropping.
Earlier this year, Apple introduced the iPhone SE, which is a smaller, cheaper version of the iPhone. Thats probably why the average sale price of an iPhone dropped more than investors were expecting to below $600. The launch of the iPhone 7 will probably bring that average sale price higher again, but at least you know theres a cheaper alternative available!

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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