Brexit Leaves A Scar

The UK's economy grew at its slowest rate in almost a decade

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What's going on?

New data released on Monday showed the UK economy grew at its slowest rate in almost a decade last quarter. And making matters worse, credit rating agencies think the countrys hanging off a cliff edge.

What does this mean?

Economists were hoping the UK economy would grow 1.1% but that proved too optimistic as it only grew 1% compared to last year. Slowing business investment was largely to blame: a weakening global economy and persistent uncertainty over Brexit discouraged businesses spending. Thatll have knock-on effects on Britains trading partners like Europe and the US, where exporters like Caterpillar, which sells machinery to British companies, already reported shrinking third-quarter sales.


Last week, credit rating agency Moodys lowered its outlook on the UKs debt to negative. It thinks the UKs divided society might have permanently made the country unpredictable and therefore risky.

Why should I care?

For markets: Stampede!

Rival credit rating agencies Fitch and Standard & Poors had already announced negative outlooks on the UK typically a precursor to cutting the UKs debt rating and thereby declaring its government bonds a riskier investment proposition. A further cut (in the event of a no-deal Brexit, for example) could force certain investors who arent allowed to invest in too-risky bonds to sell their holdings, driving British bond prices down. If they instead buy more highly-rated US or Geman government bonds, demand may push their prices up.


Zooming in: Greggs grub.
Although businesses are cutting their spending in the UK, consumers arent: bakery chain Greggs increased its annual profit forecast yet again on Monday. The success of its vegan sausage rolls has been partly to thank no wonder, then, that fast-food giants McDonalds and Burger King are now rolling out similar faux-meat products.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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