Broken Home

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What's going on?

Investors were left out in the cold after home improvement retailer Home Depot reported weaker-than-expected quarterly sales growth on Tuesday, as well as a dilapidated forecast for the rest of 2019.

What does this mean?

Home Depots third-quarter sales in existing stores grew 3.6% compared to the same time last year. But that was lower than the almost-5% growth investors had forecast, and it led to lower revenue than predicted. The companys forecast for the rest of the year, meanwhile, crumbled beneath investors feet: it now thinks itll grow annual sales by 1.8% from last year, rather than the 2.3% growth itd previously promised. Thats the second time in a row Home Depots lowered its earnings forecast

Why should I care?

For markets: Deadwood.


If Home Depot had blamed its lower forecast on penny-pinching customers, investors even those who dont own Home Depots stock mightve been encouraged to ditch other retailers shares. But the company instead pointed the finger at falling lumber prices, which limit how much it can charge for its wooden wares. Its investors reckoned with this years lower earnings and sold the companys stock on Tuesday, sending it down 6%. Rival Lowes will report its own third-quarter update on Wednesday, and investors likely anticipating similarly bad news pre-emptively sold its shares too: they fell 2% on Tuesday.



The bigger picture: Gimme shelter.


When houses are being bought and sold at a brisk pace, homeowners are likely to splash out at Home Depot and Lowes on sprucing up their property. But housing data released this week showed the confidence of single-family homebuilders declined this month. Sales of new and existing homes, meanwhile, have been falling despite lower mortgage rates which make borrowing cheaper and should therefore encourage homebuying. Still, the number of new houses being built is growing (albeit slower than predicted), which might mean some rising demand for Depot and cos products.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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