Cereal Killer

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What's going on?

Breakfast magnate Kelloggs announced weaker-than-expected earnings on Thursday, but at least PepsiCos update wasnt such a soggy mess.

What does this mean?

Kelloggs quarterly revenue and profit both fell short of investors predictions, but the breakfast-focused company hadnt necessarily done much wrong. Investors might just have seen how fast competing consumer staples companies had been growing and set their expectations too high.

That wasnt the case for Pepsi, whose North American food brands which include Lays chips and Quaker Oats porridge actually make up over half its profit. And seeing as theres been plenty of comfort eating going on throughout the pandemic, last quarters earnings came in ahead of investors expectations while its growth came in ahead of arch-nemesis Coca-Cola.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Dont write off a fixer-upper.

Kelloggs mightve missed the mark, but this kind of stumble in a year when demand for at-home foods so high isnt the be-all and end-all. Case in point: Kraft Heinz has been quick to adapt after publicly admitting that two of its major brands Kraft and Oscar Mayer werent worth as much as it thought. That might be why it announced stronger-than-expected annual results on Thursday, along with plans to sell its underperforming nuts business for $3 billion pushing its stock up 5%.

The bigger picture: Consumer staples have their off-days too.
Investors make a big deal about how reliable the consumer staples sector is, given that shoppers buy its products no matter how the economys doing. And theyre not wrong: hygiene and personal care brands were, unsurprisingly, at the top of peoples shopping lists last year, while packaged food especially healthy and plant-based products benefited from pandemic-driven stockpiling. But the reliability of the sector isnt a given: drinks firms, for example, struggled with collapsing restaurant and bar sales, which might be why their shares have done relatively poorly.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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