Cheap Deal Casts A Pall Over Malls

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What's going on?

Property manager Brookfield Property Partners reached a deal on Tuesday to buy out GGP Inc., the second-largest mall owner in the United States but the relatively low price it paid shows just how topsy-turvy the world of commercial real estate is these days

What does this mean?

The rise of ecommerce has hit many traditional retailers hard, even driving a few (like Toys R Us) to bankruptcy. And thats been pretty bad news for their landlords, who rely on rents from commercial properties to stay in business!


But as store closures accelerate, some property managers are cannily snapping up commercial real estate in desirable urban areas on the cheap and repurposing all that shop floor as apartments, hotels or office spaces. Thats what Brookfield did with many of the locations it acquired from Rouse Properties in 2016 and what it plans to do now with many of GGPs malls.

Why should I care?

For markets: GGPs cheap price tag suggests a bleak outlook for the mall sector.

Investors appear to have expected GGP to command a higher price, especially given its supposedly strong portfolio of high-end mall properties with chi-chi tenants like Tesla and Tiffanys. Shares of other American mall owners like Simon Property Group and Macerich both fell around 3% on Tuesday.



The bigger picture: Commercial real estate companies havent performed too well this year.

Shares of real estate companies often feel the heat as interest rates go up (as is currently happening). Thats because the fixed income generated by these companies (i.e. the rents they charge) becomes worth relatively less in the eyes of investors as the returns on offer from other investments start to go up. Of course, that isnt a problem if those companies can increase the rents they charge but in a world where stores are struggling, that just isnt feasible for many firms.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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