Conspiracy Theory

Image source: Nosyrevy - Shutterstock

What's going on?

The US Federal Reserve (the Fed) announced this week that itd be selling $14 billion worth of corporate bonds, and suspicious investors might be reading too much into it

What does this mean?

When the pandemic kicked off last year, the Fed bought up a host of corporate bonds to help companies stay on two feet as things descended into chaos. But now that things have settled down, its decided to sell some of them off. Its worth pointing out, of course, that the Feds still buying around $120 billion worth of assets every month, so this sell-off is just a drop in the ocean. But for investors, its another in a long line of hints that interest rates are set to rise sooner rather than later.

Why should I care?

For markets: The interest rate fear is real.


Investors were expecting the Fed to hold onto these bonds until they were fully paid off, so the central banks decision will increase the overall supply. All else equal, thatll send prices down and yields which move in the opposite direction up. And since investors use existing yields to inform interest rates on new bonds, the move will effectively increase rates in the market which isnt great news for companies earnings and, by extension, their share prices.



The bigger picture: Your guess is as good as theirs.


Investors mightve seen something like this coming: US inflation is at record highs, so this could be a stopgap before eventually raising interest rates directly. But it remains to be seen whether the sell-off will actually slow down rising prices. Thats especially true given fresh data out on Thursday that showed the private sector added more jobs than expected last month, which could lead to more consumer spending and higher economic growth. Then again, theres hope yet: data out on Friday is expected to show that wage growth isnt recovering even if job growth is.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

The top 2 financial news stories in 3 minutes. Join over one million Finimizers

Read next

Movies And Shakers

Sign up to Finimize

Get the two most important global financial news stories each day. Sent at midnight UK time.

Get started with one email a day

The top financial news stories in 3 minutes.