Courtroom Drama

Germany and the ECB go head to head

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What's going on?

You want the truth? Sure, you can probably handle the truth: German courts ruled on Tuesday that the European Central Banks (ECBs) economy-boosting quantitative easing program might be unconstitutional.

What does this mean?

Quantitative easing (QE) is when a central bank buys government bonds from the market and, in doing so, puts cash to work doing all sorts of productive things for the economy. Its something the ECBs been doing on and off since 2015 and as of last year, its been very much on.

German courts dont think the ECBs fully considered the wider effects of QE on the economy namely on shareholders, renters, and insurance buyers and reckon its program mightnt therefore be proportionate to its economies relative sizes. And that would be a breach of European Union rules. The ECBs now got three months to convince Germany that its bond-buying is justified, as well as to win over the support of the eurozones largest economy.

Why should I care?

For markets: The short arm of the law.
Faced with potential disruptions to eurozone support programs, investors shied away from the euro in favor of other currencies. Its value fell almost 1% on Tuesday, and mightve dropped even more if the ECBs coronavirus-specific support had been included in the German ruling too.


The bigger picture: Lean on Germany, when the ECBs not strong.
When the ECB enacts QE, it does so with the help of individual eurozone countries central banks buying up bonds on its behalf. But if the German court isnt happy with the ECBs response and things escalate, the countrys own central bank might be forced to halt its support which is the most substantial of any European countrys. And if that happens, the ECB will likely struggle to buy as much as it was targeting, making the program even less effective than its already been.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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