Dont Bank On It

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What's going on?

Shares of US investment banks fell on Tuesday, partly due to comments by Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase they warned that their second quarters wouldnt be as rosy as their first.

What does this mean?

At a conference in New York, JPMorgans co-president said it expects its second-quarter revenues from trading will be roughly the same as the $5 billion it generated in the same period last year. At the same event, Morgan Stanleys co-head of wealth management warned that its clients activity had slowed since March, creating a challenging environment.


Back in April, banks reported better-than-expected first-quarter results, but their stocks fell in part because investors worried that the combination of US tax reform, rising interest rates and turbulent market conditions that boosted growth would fade through the rest of the year.

Why should I care?

For markets: Banks are in a pickle some more than others.


On Tuesday, US bank stocks fell by 3% on average, with Morgan Stanleys near 6% decline topping the losers table. Investment management is roughly a third of MSs business, so any slowdown is a big concern for investors who backed the companys efforts to focus on this (typically more predictable) area. However, the companys working with the worlds biggest investment manager BlackRock to integrate better risk management technology. It hopes this will help encourage more cash through its doors therefore allowing it to make more money by charging management fees.



The bigger picture: European banks have their own troubles.


Shares in Italys biggest banks both fell by 5% on Tuesday, while Germanys Deutsche Bank fell by 6%. Investors were concerned that Italys potential spending plans could leave the country at risk of not being able to pay its debts. Banks are some of the biggest owners of government bonds investors likely sold their stocks to avoid burning a hole in their pockets as the bonds fell in value or worse, if Italy defaults.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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