Drinking Problems

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What's going on?

Global spirits giant Diageo has warned investors that the coronavirus is going to give it one hell of a hangover. Shhh not so loud, please.

What does this mean?

Diageo the worlds biggest spirits maker is expecting to lose $260 million in profit this year because of the virus. Sales in its once-fast-growing Chinese market have collapsed as bars and restaurants have shut their doors, while its airport sales are feeling the effects of fewer travelers. Making matters worse, Asia which accounts for a fifth of Diageos sales is canceling conferences left, right, and center.

But its not just booze thats giving investors a headache: Danone the French producer of Evian water lowered its sales and profit targets as demand for its products falls in China. That news has come at a bad time: the companys new plan to spend $2.2 billion on reducing its reliance on plastic packaging is expected to knock profits, too.

Why should I care?

Zooming out: P-S-A, P-S-A!
Still, at least one French company had something good to say on Wednesday: Peugeot-owner PSA Group shrugged off pessimism in the car industry with better-than-expected profit and an increased dividend. While the carmaker expects sales in Europe its largest market to drop this year, investors are just relieved it doesnt rely on China: car sales there have dropped 92% so far in February.

For markets: Drinking to forget.
Danone and Diageo both belong to defensive industries: those that, in theory, arent hit as hard during economic downturns. People still tend to buy food and liquor in a recession, after all. Carmakers, on the other hand, operate in a cyclical industry where profits tend to flow with the economic tide. Bad results or not, shares of companies like Danone and Diageo could ultimately fare better than those of PSA Group if the virus pushes the global economy into recession.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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