European Banks: Board Games

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What's going on?

Although both banks reported improving quarterly results, the UKs Barclays climbed the share price ladder on Wednesday while Deutsche Bank slid down the snake.

What does this mean?

Barclays leadership has been under pressure from activist investors to improve financial returns recently and it reportedly considered merging with rival Standard Chartered in May. Activists want a move away from less profitable businesses like stock and bond trading, but the CEO has resisted with some justification, as the division grew profit 19% versus the same time last year even as several US rivals struggled.


Deutsche has had troubles of its own: it switched CEOs in April after making a loss in each of the last three years. Profit fell by 60% last quarter but that was still better than predicted, as cost cuts began to take effect. Deutsches results were also helped by its new CEOs focus on commercial banking (where revenue fell 5% vs. investment bankings 13%) something investors regard as no trivial pursuit.

Why should I care?

For markets: European banks are scrabbling to keep up.


Although it didnt do what all shareholders wanted, Barclays shares rose 3% on Wednesday. But Deutsche, despite exceeding profit expectations, saw its shares fall 5% most likely because its revenue performance wasnt quite up to scratch. Both firms are now starting to deliver strategically, however and European banks could gain ground on their US rivals if interest rates rise higher in the eurozone.



The bigger picture: Being the big buckaroo still counts in banking.


The pressure is on for European banks. Heightened regulation adds costs and reduces revenues, while US competitors are performing well and headcount is getting a haircut to balance the books. For banks like Deutsche, theres a risk that too much downsizing could lead its market share to go kerplunk. Future revenue is therefore key for investors: any uptick in sales at a slimmed-down operation is likely to feed straight into increased profit.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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