A European Recovery? Perhaps

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What's going on?

It turns out that, after much consternation, the eurozone economy might actually be recovering according to the first estimate, the economy grew 0.6% in the first quarter (equivalent to about 2.4% annualized growth) better than both the US and the UK.

What does this mean?

Theres been a lot of fear that the eurozone, which saw a brief jump in growth at the beginning of last year, was already seeing its recovery fizzle but these new figures suggest otherwise. The best news seems to be that investment seems to be picking up. That doesnt mean that more people are buying stocks or bonds it means that businesses are spending more money investing in things like factories and equipment. That should, hopefully, drive future economic gains because it increases the capacity of the economy to produce more in the future.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Recent economic data suggests a change in the pecking order amongst big, western economies. On first quarter figures alone, the eurozone is growing the fastest, followed by the UK and tailed, at quite a substantial length, by the US. However, these initial estimates are highly prone to revision over time so dont take this news as total confirmation that things have changed. And, even if Europe is growing at the fastest pace of the bunch, its starting from a lower base (because its growth since the financial crisis has been so poor).

For you personally: Low inflation (rising prices) but an improving jobs market are good for the average person. Interestingly, deflationactually occurred in the eurozone in April (a.k.a. prices fell). At the same time, the unemployment rate fell. So, on the whole, peoples incomes are rising but their costs arent going up (and are probablyfalling somewhat). That makes it easier to spend money and is thus usually good for companies that sell things to people (especially discretionary things like restaurant meals and travel packages).

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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