Fall From Ace

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What's going on?

Worldline’s market value fell off a cliff after the French payments firm issued ominous projections about the road ahead.

What does this mean?

Europe’s economic slowdown is drastically changing Europeans’ spending habits, especially in Germany, usually the region’s powerhouse. Combine that with a rise in cybercrime in the financial sector, and the die was cast for Worldline. Concerned that stricter regulations to tackle crime would cause issues for its books, the French financial firm pulled its outlook for the year down a couple of pegs. Around 60% of its market value was wiped out as a result, sending out a ripple that shook European and US peers in the payment sector too.

Why should I care?

For markets: It’s a nice day for a trek.
Worldline’s warning is one of many in today’s payment industry. Dutch rival Adyen, for one, already flashed the red light, worried about its future amid tough competition, rising inflation, and business-crushing interest rates. Newly public CAB Payments, for another, saw its stock drop 72% after the firm pushed down its revenue forecast, marking the worst public listing of the year. That’s a long fall down from the highs that the industry hit during the pandemic, and the journey back up will be a grueling one.

The bigger picture: This is just the beginning.
The payment industry’s problems don’t exist in a vacuum. Because they reflect the broader economic health of Europe, these dreary results likely hint at what’s ahead for many of the region’s industries. And to make matters worse, a major survey just revealed that German companies are cutting back on investments and hiring, fearing that the economy won’t magically bounce back anytime soon. In this sort of environment, when natural opportunities to succeed are few and far between, businesses may well ramp up the dealmaking in a bid to get ahead.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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