Fine China

China's strong first quarter

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What's going on?

China surprised investors on Wednesday by reporting first-quarter economic growth that was higher than expected.

What does this mean?

The Chinese economy grew 6.4% compared to the same time last year holding steady on the previous quarters rate. But with annual forecasts lowered last month, analysts had expected a slowdown.


On the face of it, Chinas economy outshone across the board. Industrial production and retail sales were both 9% higher than a year ago, helped by government measures including tax cuts designed to boost sales (tweet this). But cynical analysts argue that China, in the throes of trade negotiations with the US, has to paint a strong economic picture. Scratch the surface, and the governments help hasnt actually done that much for some parts of the Chinese economy yet.

Why should I care?

For markets: Investors are cheering on China.


Investors bought up stocks around the world on Wednesday the US market is currently flirting with new record highs partly thanks to Chinas economic update. As one of the worlds biggest spenders, a stronger China would benefit overseas companies throughout 2019. Indeed, cosmetics giant LOral attributed its beautiful first-quarter sales growth to robust Chinese demand. And yet, although it seems unlikely, some investors are worried that Chinas government may now reduce its economic support following this quarters success. Japans Nippon Paint on Wednesday agreed to buy Australias DuluxGroup for $3 billion, in part to diversify its business away from an unpredictable Chinese market.



The bigger picture: European vehicles are queuing up.


Data out on Wednesday showed that European car sales declined in March for the seventh month in a row but shares of the regions automakers rose nevertheless. Investors might be expecting a stronger-than-expected Chinese economy to drive improved car sales later this year. Theyll have to wait, however: Chinas auto sales fell 11% last quarter, and its government is still mulling over the merits of a plan to reignite demand.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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