Harley-Davidson Hogwash

Harley-Davidson earnings

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What's going on?

American motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson reported a weaker-than-expected fourth quarter on Tuesday and the wheels fell off its stock, which dropped 5%.

What does this mean?

Both revenue and profit fell at Harley last quarter, riding in below investor predictions. The companys European challenges were well flagged last year but in the US, where it sells 60% of its bikes, sales fell more than anywhere else. With the US president kickstarting a boycott of Harley in response to the bike builders plans to shift some production to lower-cost plants overseas, US consumers mightve ridden political pillion.


Harley expects to sell between 217,000 and 222,000 hogs in 2019 not exactly firing on all cylinders compared to investors forecast of around 228,000. Itll be the fewest number of bikes the companys sold in eight years.

Why should I care?

For markets: A new pitch for new markets.

Harley-Davidsons bikes once thrummed the heartstrings of stereotypical Terminator types but thats not working so well with todays buyers. That is, if theyre buying vehicles at all. Harleys hit on a new wheeze to win customers: a fresh generation of premium electric motorcycles, more pricey but probably safer than an e-scooter. The first-ever police car was electric and as the world comes full circle, Harleys investors will hope that the retro trend for big-but-green catches on.



The bigger picture: More hair in Harleys face.

Data this week showed that the number of people in England and Wales turning to insolvency last year a process by which debtors wrangle a new repayment plan for debts thatve spiraled out of control hit its highest level since 2011. And with the amount Brits owe on credit cards now the highest since records began, potential customers there probably cant afford a Harley. For those who can, the strength of the US dollar means Harley’s local currency profit wont translate into quite as many dollars back home a problem hitting several US firms, including Pfizer.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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