H&M Goes On Sale

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What's going on?

Swedish fashion retailer H&M has a problem: online shopping is taking over! Its stock dropped 5% on Thursday after its CEO partially blamed shoppers shifting habits for a 20% drop in profits.

What does this mean?

H&Ms problem last quarter was as old as retail itself: it didnt sell enough inventory and was forced to aggressively discount its products to move them before the autumn season. But the cause of its problem was very 21st century: people are increasingly shopping online, which is leading to fewer visitors to H&M stores and, consequently, slowing sales growth.

Why should I care?

For the market: H&M is stuck in the middle with a heap of problems and no clear way out.

Some of H&Ms problems stem from being a middle-market player. Its not as cheap as competitors like Primark and it hasnt been as innovative online as new, ecommerce entrants such as Asos and Boohoo. Furthermore, its model which has historically been dependent on in-store shoppers may be fundamentally broken (see more below). H&M is trying to counter its middle-market issue by creating more upscale brands (like Arket, which just opened its own store on Londons Regent Street). And it says its digital sales should grow 25% this year (but it was late to move into ecommerce). Shoppers are moving on from its brick and mortar model, and H&M is playing catch-up while it tries to find its feet.

The bigger picture: The problems posed by online shopping are more complex than they appear.

Its not just a functional matter of people buying their products from digital retailers. The issues are also experiential consumers are increasingly more likely to go ice skating at a mall (and post a video of it on social media) than spend their time trying on clothes. As more money (and time) is spent on experiences, less is spent buying clothing.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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