Hot Milk

Image source: Unsplash

What's going on?

Oatly floated on the US stock market on Thursday, and investors gave the plant-based milk maker a warm welcome: its share price immediately frothed up 30%.

What does this mean?

Its no surprise Oatlys newly public stock was in such high demand. Consumers environmental and nutritional concerns have pushed plant-based products into the mainstream, and investors have long been looking for ways to back the companies fueling the categorys rise.

Their enthusiasm allowed Oatly to price its initial public offering (IPO) at the top end of its intended range, raising more than $1.4 billion in the process. The company plans to spend part of the proceeds on paying back a sustainability-linked loan, with the rest funding its ongoing expansion in the particularly fast-growing oat milk market as well as the development of new products like plant-based cheese.

Why should I care?

For markets: Competition? What competition?
The IPO valued Oatly overall at $10 billion a tidy step up from $2 billion just ten months ago (tweet this). That valuation amounts to 24x last years sales, compared to Beyond Meats 16x and Danones relatively paltry 2x (which might be because its two plant-based milk brands Alpro and Silk are just small cogs in a much bigger dairy machine). But even as new competition keeps coming onto the scene, Oatlys ubiquitous brand means its growth is at least for now continuing to outstrip its rivals.

The bigger picture: Theres even more room for plant-based milk to grow.
Oatlys successful IPO came the day after website-hosting service Squarespaces shares fell 13% on their own market debut. The difference might in part be down to a precedent set by Beyond Meat: the companys stock price has risen more than 300% in the two years since it went public, despite a few ups and downs along the way. Investors, then, may well expect Oatly to be to plant-based dairy what Beyond Meats been to plant-based meat.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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