HSBC Has Some Big Concerns

HSBC

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What's going on?

Europes largest bank, HSBC, sounded yet another alarm for the global economy on Tuesday as it reported weaker-than-expected annual results.

What does this mean?

HSBC grew its revenue and profit last year, but not by as much as investors predicted. In Asia, where HSBC makes 90% of its profit, slowing Chinese economic growth and falling stock markets (which hurt earnings at other banks, too) led to lower fourth-quarter profit than a year ago (tweet this) and contributed to global costs growing faster than revenues.


Closer to its UK home, HSBC also reported fewer loans were being repaid as agreed and predicted British economic uncertainty might make this worse. HSBC has a reputation for avoiding risky loans, so if even its carefully chosen borrowers are flirting with default, other British banks may take a bigger hit.

Why should I care?

For markets: No buyback to quieten the dissenters.

Disgruntled investors sold HSBC down 4% on Tuesday, making it the worst performer on the UK stock market. That likely reflects their disappointment at both lower-than-forecast profit and HSBCs view that ongoing geopolitical uncertainty is clouding the future of its two key markets: the UK and Asia. Some hoped HSBC would announce a fresh share buyback program, as reducing the number of publicly available shares would improve returns for remaining shareholders. But it didnt disappointing investors, especially as rival RBS announced a larger-than-expected payday for its own shareholders last week.



The bigger picture: Chinese banks are becoming a little more European.

In China, where much of HSBCs Asian business originates, local commercial banks are considering following in the state-owned Bank of Chinas footsteps by issuing bonds with no set repayment date a.k.a. perpetual bonds in order to shore up their cash balances. European banking giant Santander offers similar bonds, but controversially declined to buy them back recently which could push up the interest rates investors demand of Chinese banks.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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