Indias Growth Streak Continues

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What's going on?

India took over China last year as the worlds fastest growing large economy – and it solidified its position in the final quarter of 2015: its economy grew 7.3% versus the same period in 2014 (according to its governments official estimates).

What does this mean?

Indias Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, has been trying to boost the economy by, among other things, increasing spending on infrastructure. The low price of oil has also helped as India has to import most of its energy resources, like oil.

But India is not immune to the global slowdown: the 7.3% was slower than the previous quarters 7.7% growth rate. There is also quite a bit of concern amongst economists that Indias data isnt compiled accurately and that growth is not as high as reported (many economists also have the same concern about China).

Why should I care?

Bigger picture: India has been a bright spot. Chinas slowing economy has hit many other emerging markets (EM) hard. Assuming Indian growth is anywhere near the official estimate of 7.3%, its doing very well compared to other EMs. And one major reason is that it isnt reliant on selling commodities like iron ore into China and is therefore less affected by Chinas slowdown.

For markets: Despite economic growth, Indian stocks performed badly in US dollar terms. Theyre down about 20% in the past year. The strong US dollar / relatively weak Indian rupee is one reason. Remember, its useful to look at the performance of international investments in your home currency (e.g. look at it in Euros, if youre European). Thats because the investment is subject to both the movement of Indian stocks and to the movement of the rupees value versus the dollar.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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