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What's going on?
Japans economy got a Godzilla-sized goody bag on Thursday as the countrys government announced $121 billion in additional spending but things are getting a little too hot in India.
What does this mean?
The Japanese economy has been growing at a minuscule rate in recent years but with slumping exports exacerbated by a sales tax hike and damage from Typhoon Hagibis, its expected to shrink 2.7% this quarter. To avert a recession, the government has decided to turn on the taps and increase spending on infrastructure and technology a return to the Abenomics of the early 2010s.
Japanese leaders hope the stimulus package will add 1.4 percentage points to economic growth. But investors arent so sure: one analyst expects a boost of just 0.2 percentage points in the coming year.
Why should I care?
For markets: Pass the parcel.
These fiscal economy-boosting measures are distinguished from monetary policy, where central banks cut interest rates to encourage consumers and businesses to spend. With Japanese rates already at -0.1%, the central bank has run out of options so its up to the government to get things back on track instead. Japans not the only place this is happening: over in Europe, the central bank is encouraging governments to break out their checkbooks too. All this extra cash could be a windfall for companies working on the new infrastructure projects
Zooming out: Crying over onions.
Indias central bank also asked the government to help out on Thursday but for a different reason. It dashed expectations of a cut to its target interest rate due to worries about food-driven inflation: in November, onion prices alone were an estimated 150% higher than the same time last year (tweet this). Resulting protests made the authorities wary of pushing up prices further through cheaper borrowing. Its a problem other countries may soon face: on Thursday, the United Nations reported that average world food prices hit their highest point in over two years.
Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.
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