Lost Economy

Image source: urban poster mockup vol1

What's going on?

Data out on Thursday showed that UK economic growth was slower-than-expected last quarter, so the country might want to issue an urgent plea.

What does this mean?

The UKs been battling shortages of, well, just about everything recently, which pushed up prices last quarter and dented consumer spending. And businesses werent confident splashing the cash either: their investment last quarter was well below levels from before the pandemic. Thats partly why the economy grew by a weaker-than-expected 1.3% last quarter, leaving it 2.1% below pre-pandemic levels a bigger shortfall than in many other developed countries.

The Bank of England (BoE) might be feeling vindicated: last week it made a surprise decision not to raise interest rates, and Thursdays data suggests that was a good call. But the BoEs got another tricky choice ahead: raising rates next month should cool rising prices, but could end up slowing economic growth even more.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: America could be next.
Americas dealing with sky-high inflation too: data out this week showed that US prices of goods and services rose by 6.2% last month versus the same time last year the fastest annual rise in over thirty years. The issue is wages arent rising at the same rate, with Americans finding their hard-earned cash isn’t going quite as far as it used to. And if consumer spending gets impacted, the US economy might end up following Britains lead which means slower economic growth going forward.

Zooming out: Steeling the show.
Rising prices are good news for some: a boom in steel prices helped ArcelorMittal one of the worlds largest steel producers report its highest quarterly profit in 13 years on Thursday. And its spreading the joy to investors: its upping its share buyback program by $1 billion, which by reducing the supply of shares out there should send the price of the remaining ones higher.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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