Missed Delivery

FedEx's weak quarter

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What's going on?

FedEx dropped off a disappointing quarterly update late on Tuesday and investors were none too happy with the service, sending its shares down 13% on Wednesday.

What does this mean?

FedExs revenue and profit last quarter fell short of investors expectations. A continued slowdown in global economic growth was partly to blame along with the protracted US-China trade war, whose import taxes (a.k.a. tariffs) have made cross-border shipping a lot more expensive and in turn discouraged spending.


And the pressures on FedEx are only rising: new tariffs this month may crimp global trade further, and theres now an Amazon-shaped hole in this years profit. No surprises, then, that FedEx delivered a damning forecast for the rest of 2019: itll earn less than investors estimated, and less than the company itself previously predicted.

Why should I care?

For markets: Nobodys home.


On Wednesday, shares of Kuehne + Nagel and DHL-owner Deutsche Post FedExs Swiss and German rivals fell by 3% and 1% respectively. Thats probably because parts of Europe are bearing the brunt of the US-China back-and-forth. China represents almost 35% of the eurozone economy, and its own economic slowdown has likely led to a reduction in shipping and therefore less business for the regions logistics companies. Likewise, shares of Denmarks Maersk the worlds largest container shipping firm which has remained seaworthy even after anticipating rough seas earlier this year sank 2% on Wednesday.



Zooming out: Dont leave with the neighbor.


The UK is mostly insulated from the trade war: its own geopolitical tussle with Europe is keeping it busy. Depending on the outcome, the country may yet strike a trade deal with the US before China does. And Britain might need it: DIY chain Kingfisher reported weak results on Wednesday thanks to lagging consumer spending despite average product prices in the UK rising at the slowest rate since 2016 last month.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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