Never-Ending Story

Image source: Adela Belovodjanin Shutterstock

What's going on?

Klarna reported a mixed earnings update on Monday, so maybe the Swedish buy-now-pay-later startup shouldve been more specific about the later part

What does this mean?

With its most recent valuation putting it at $46 billion, Klarna holds the title of Europes most valuable startup. And its easy to see why: cash-strapped shopaholics cant get enough of its interest-free loans, with the company adding 70% more active users last year to bring its total to 147 million. That helped push the total value of transactions on its platform up by 42% compared to the year before, and the firms revenue up by 38%. But it turns out shoppers like putting off their payments a bit too much: Klarnas credit losses those it sustains when users dont pay back their loans almost doubled to $487 million. Throw in rising admin costs, and the firms net loss was quadruple what it was the year before

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: This is a crowded market.
Buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) really kicked off during the pandemic, and its showing no signs of slowing down: Worldpay estimates that the sector accounted for 2.1% of the total value of global ecommerce transactions in 2019, and thats expected to hit 4.2% by 2024. But with huge growth comes huge competition, and Klarna has plenty of that: its not just up against dedicated BNPL firms Affirm, Paidy, and Afterpay, but banks like Monzo, Revolut, and Barclays too.

Zooming in: Klarna was built for a different world.
Klarnas credit losses are worrying enough for investors, but there are arguably even bigger problems ahead. Klarna partly funds the short-term loans it offers by its own short-term borrowing, which works in a world where interest rates are low. But with most major central banks expected to raise rates and keep raising them for the foreseeable future, cheap money and big profits are going to become a lot harder to come by

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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