Oils Of War

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What's going on?

Russian oil titan Rosneft said on Monday that its planning to pay a record-high dividend.

What does this mean?

The oil price has been surging this year, hitting $120 a barrel for the second time in a couple of months on Monday. Thats mostly because the European Union is reportedly edging closer to banning Russian oil imports altogether, while Iran just went ahead and seized two Greek oil tankers a move that could jeopardize relations with (and the oil supply from) the Middle East.

This has all played right into Rosnefts hands: the company which is responsible for about 40% of Russias total production already posted its best-ever profit last year, and this booming oil price suggests it could top that record this year. And seeing as it now has so much cash burning a hole in its pocket, it just announced that itd pay a record dividend to its investors too.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Russians are used to a chill.
Youd think Rosneft would be struggling more than it has been, given that many of the worlds biggest economies are giving Russia the cold shoulder. But India and China arent quite so at odds with the country, to the extent that their combined purchases hit an all-time high in April. In fact, Asian countries as a whole have been happy to hold up their empty bowl of gruel: new data has shown that Asia overtook Europe as the biggest buyer of Russian oil for the first time last month.

Zooming out: Russias got a friend in OPEC.
The sky-high oil price continues to be a serious concern for major economies, which is why the G7 has just urged OPEC a group of oil-producing countries to boost production significantly. But thats a long shot: OPEC is benefiting from the current environment, meaning it has no real incentive to ramp up production faster than it was planning to anyway.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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