Oxford Dons Century Bond

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What's going on?

Oxford University borrowed 750 million from investors last week by issuing its first-ever bonds and it doesnt have to pay them back for a hundred years!

What does this mean?

Oxford, which has been a seat of learning since the 11th century, is considered to be one of the safest borrowers in the world (technically speaking, its rated triple-A by major credit ratings agencies). This is reflected in the relatively low interest rate that it offered investors: just 2.5% per year, fixed for the entire 100 years. Despite the rather paltry return on offer in exchange for waving goodbye to your money for a century, investors jumped on the offering and Oxford borrowed three times the amount it had initially planned!

Why should I care?

For markets: The strong demand shows how desperate investors are for safe investments that pay an income.

UK interest rates, despite ticking up a bit recently, remain near their lowest-ever levels. Yet there are still lots of investors looking primarily for cash income from their investments, rather than a rise in their value including pension funds, which have to generate cash regularly in order to pay their beneficiaries. Oxfords bonds offer investors something thats become extremely rare: decent income from a safe borrower.


For you personally: Oxfords bonds are less safe than they seem.

Yes, Oxford will almost certainly still be around and able to pay back its lenders in a centurys time but 750 million in 2117 will equally as certainly not be worth what it is today (i.e. you wont be able to buy as much with 750 million in 2117 as you can now). And thats the risk investors really take when they lend money for such a long time: that inflation will erode the value of the money. The higher inflation goes, the less that 750 million will be worth in a hundred years time.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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