Rio Carnival

Rio Tinto shares drop 3%

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What's going on?

Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto is sharing the love: its celebrating its highest half-year profit since 2014 by distributing an extra $1 billion to shareholders.

What does this mean?

The price of iron ore has risen over 70% this year, after a Brazilian dam disaster in January saw authorities massively curtail supply from the worlds top exporter, Vale. Rios rival said on Thursday it produced 34% less iron ore last quarter than it did a year ago.

While Rios also cut production twice in 2019, higher prices more than made up for lower volumes: iron ore sales were responsible for three quarters of Rios profit, up from 60% in 2018. But its not all gravy: investors watching irons price tick up already expected a bumper payout, and worries about future productivity and lower Chinese demand saw Rios shares fall 3% on Thursday.

Why should I care?

For markets: Leave the stock; take the cannoli.
Rio plans to pay its investors a total of $3.5 billion in cash dividends, but it wont buy back shares as it has in previous years. Thats not because the company lacks self-confidence, mind you. Back in 2008, concerned regulators stipulated that Chinese aluminum maker Chinalco could own no more than 15% of Rio, Australias fifth-largest employer. $10 billion of share buybacks since 2017 have helped bolster the value of Rios remaining public stock, but theyve also pushed Chinalco perilously close to that 15% limit. Any more buybacks mightve seen the Chinese company forced to sell against its will.

The bigger picture: Steel mad with you.
China is the worlds biggest buyer of iron ore, which it uses to make enormous amounts of steel over half the global total, in fact. But the rising cost of ore has hit steelmakers profits, and dwindling stockpiles have prompted some Chinese companies to call for government intervention. Theyre not alone: steelmaking giant ArcelorMittal reported its worst quarterly profit in three years on Thursday, partly thanks to higher iron prices.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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