Road Rage

Image source: franconiaphoto - shutterstock

What's going on?

Data out on Thursday showed that US consumer prices rose by the most in more than 40 years last month, and the countrys drivers arent exactly happy about it.

What does this mean?

That summer road trip Americans were planning is starting to look a lot more expensive, with gas prices 38% higher in February than they were at the same time last year. And if that wasnt enough to put them off the road, this might be: the price of used cars was 41% higher than the same time last year. In fact, the prices Americans paid for goods and services overall climbed by a higher-than-expected 7.9% the biggest jump since January 1982. And even when you strip out unstable food and energy prices to get to the core inflation, youre still talking about a nearly 40-year high

Why should I care?

For markets: Cue the rate hikes.
Most economists thought inflation would peak in February, but that was before Russia invaded Ukraine. The effects of the war have already sent retail gas prices responsible for about a third of Februarys monthly increase up nearly 20% this month, and they might not come down for months. So chances are that the Federal Reserve (the Fed) will stick with its plan to raise interest rates when it meets next week probably in the first in a series of hikes aiming to limit inflation.

The bigger picture: The ECB wavers.
The European Central Bank (ECB) still isnt ready to follow in the Feds footsteps, but it did unexpectedly announce plans on Thursday to withdraw its bond-buying support faster than expected, which could see it ending the program altogether by as soon as the third quarter. The move shows just how concerned the ECB is about the effect of record-high inflation on the regions economy, and it isnt the only one: Goldman Sachs cut its 2022 growth outlook for the region from 3.9% to 2.5% this week.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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