Snakes And Ladders

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What's going on?

Goldman Sachs and Bank of America (BoA) became the latest investment banks to report positive third-quarter results on Wednesday but while Goldmans stock climbed, BoAs slithered down 4%.

What does this mean?

Goldman beat investors expectations across the board. Facilitating clients trades of FICC investments fixed income (like bonds), currencies, and commodities as well as advising them on all manner of deals helped revenue come both thick and fast. That led to the firm reporting a much higher profit than predicted too.


BoA wasnt quite as lucky. Its quarterly revenue was slightly more constricted than investors had forecast, although profit was more or less as planned partly thanks to the new trend of banks putting less money aside in case of loan defaults. But given 84% of companies exceeded earnings expectations last quarter, merely doing as well as predicted didnt satisfy investors hungry for a so-called beat and raise.

Why should I care?

For markets: Sustaining a sidewinder.


BoA seems to have missed out on the FICC trading boom its business grew just 4% versus the same time last year, compared to Goldmans 49% and JPMorgans 50%. Whats more, consumer banking think savings and lending is more important to BoAs earnings than it is for rivals. Record-low US interest rates squeezing the amount the bank makes from loans by more than feared therefore added insult to injury and perhaps encouraged investors to forgo patriotism in favor of profits.



The bigger picture: Change is what we do.


Its tough right now being a bank like BoA or Citigroup, relying heavily on consumer and business loans to make money. As well as earning less interest than before, theyre on the hook for major losses if struggling customers fail to repay. Riskier activities like trading have been better bets for banks recently, and that probably wont change this quarter: next months US election is expected to lead to a lot of investor chopping and changing.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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