Soft Spot

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What's going on?

SoftBank was looking pretty vulnerable last quarter, reporting on Thursday that its Vision Funds were in the red once again.

What does this mean?

SoftBanks investors had every reason to be hopeful. The firms Vision Fund business oversees the biggest tech-focused investment funds in the world and with tech valuations on the rebound, they were probably counting on the rising tide to raise the firms leaky boat. No dice, though: some big investments did jump (like South Korean e-commerce company Coupang), but ill-starred private investments still clipped its wings. See, SoftBank marked down the value of its private holdings the bulk of its investments by about $3.9 billion, overshadowing its public holdings $1.9 billion gain. The resulting accolade was the corporate equivalent of a dunces cap: a record loss for the whole year, after a fifth straight quarter in the red for those once high-flying funds.

Why should I care?

For markets: Still just window shopping.
SoftBank needs to be careful its got the cash to cover debts and other expenses. And while auctioning off parts of its Alibaba stake has helped so far, the firm seems to be itching to strike a bolder, less defensive stance now and thats going to require deeper pockets. Taking its chip-designing titan ARM public will help raise some funds but right now its at the mercy of the flailing markets. The upshot: banks are touting a super-wide valuation range for ARM, anywhere between $30 and $70 billion.

The bigger picture: Boarding the AI train.
SoftBanks hoping to splash that cash on AI first and foremost. And thats no wonder: the technologys seeping into sectors left, right, and center, from aiding drug discoveries to improving educational offerings. But given the hype and the fact SoftBanks not exactly early to the party itll have to work extra hard to sort the wheat from the chaff.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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