Sore Losers

Image source: Nazar Skladanyi - Shutterstock

What's going on?

Data out on Tuesday showed UK house prices rose at their fastest annual pace since 2004, in a frustrating game first-time buyers dont have any chance of winning.

What does this mean?

UK house prices have been pushed up and up by ultra-low borrowing costs, a limited supply of properties, and a temporary tax break on purchases (that, as of Wednesday, will be phased out). Plus, Brits have had their hearts on upsizing after a year spent staring at the same four walls. So much so, in fact, that London was actually one of the weakest-performing regions as homebuyers swapped the urban hubbub for tense village politics. All in all, its driven the average house price to a record $353,000 a figure which both threatens to broaden the wealth gap and leave the next generation of buyers out in the cold.

Why should I care?

For you personally: Wont somebody please think of the children?
Its true that the typical mortgage payment isnt actually all that high compared to monthly salaries by historic standards, thanks to record-low rates. But cheap mortgage payments dont mean much if you cant afford somewhere in the first place, and house prices relative to average incomes are close to an all-time high. Thats making it harder than ever for prospective first-time buyers trying to get their foot on the property ladder.

Zooming out: Its the same story all over the world.
House prices arent just soaring in the UK: data out last week showed average US house prices rose 24% in May compared to a year ago, hitting a record high for much the same government-stimulated reasons as the UK. And now, Bloomberg Economics has pointed out that certain indicators like the ratio of global house prices to rent or locals salaries are higher than they were even in the lead-up to the 2008 financial crisis, suggesting this bubble could be about to burst.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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