Spare Some Change

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What's going on?

Data out late last week showed that banks have been jostling for loans from the Fed.

What does this mean?

The US government would love it if everyone just forgot about Silicon Valley Banks collapse, but let’s be real: it’s going to be a hot minute before folk fully trust the banking system again. And the latest data wont do much to help. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) made it easier for banks short on cash to borrow money in the wake of the crisis, and those loans swiftly hit a new record high in the week up to March 15th blowing 2008s out of the water. That shows a lot of players remained nervous about the amount of cash being withdrawn, suggesting the sectors still in hot water. First Republic is probably biting its nails especially hard: even the tidy cash injection its getting from the nation’s biggest banks has done little to reassure investors its on firm ground.

Why should I care?

For markets: One step forward and
These numbers are a big deal when you consider how they affect the Fed’s policy moves. See, the central banks been doing two main things in its fight against inflation: hiking interest rates and reducing the value of bonds on its balance sheet. But these emergency loans are thought to have undone half the good of those bond-offloading efforts. So if the Fed does hike interest rates this week, it’ll be like fueling the blaze and taking a firehose to it at the same time.

The bigger picture: Follow the money.
Folks arent sticking all that withdrawn cash under their mattresses. But the dollar trail does lead to seriously low-risk investments, like government bonds and money market funds (which essentially invest in cash and safe securities). That stands to reason: worried investors tend to make safer financial choices in times of crisis, in a so-called “flight to quality“.

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