“Tchau Tchau,” Madam President!

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What's going on?

Get outta here! was the verdict given by Brazils Senate as it voted to put President Rousseff on trial. In doing so, they suspended her from the presidency (and it looks like the Senate will, in a few months, find her guilty and boot her out for good).

What does this mean?

Brazils economy has been roiled in recent years but its stock market has rallied sharply this year on hopes that a change of political leadership would lead to an economic revival. Investors have now been granted the first part of that wish: Brazils President is, effectively, out of office. But there is a lot to be done. The countrys economy is expected to shrink by even more than it did last year.

Why should I care?

For markets: A lot rests on the shoulders of Brazils new leader. Vice-President Michel Temer now takes the reigns. If, as looks likely, he appoints a well-respected team to run important government finance departments, confidence in the economy could be restored. But such an outcome is far from certain. Brazil remains a country beset by corruption (the new leader is allegedly no angel himself) and entrenched high levels of government spending – both of those things, usually, harm investor confidence. Turning things around wont be easy.

For you personally: BRICS used to be really popular. In 2010, if you werent invested in emerging markets (EM) like Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS), people looked at you as if you were crazy. Well, from 2012 until early 2016, EM was one of the worst areas to be invested. As weve reported, this year has seen something of a rebound but only after years of pain. Its been a good reminder that whats popular is often not whats best.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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