The Strong Dollar Isn’t Good For All American Companies

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What's going on?

For four decades, the value of US imports have exceeded that of their exports. But data yesterday showed that its so-called trade deficit - meaning the gap between imports and exports - was even greater than expected. This is indicative of how bad the environment is for US companies that primarily sell their goods abroad.

What does this mean?

The US dollar has risen about 20% in the past year versus the currencies of its main trading partners. This makes it more expensive for international companies to buy US goods and services but also cheaper for American companies to buy goods and services from abroad. Exports are positive for American economic growth (because money is coming into America) while imports are a negative (because money is leaving America).

Why should I care?

  1. A strong US dollar makes it more difficult for companies that sell their goods internationally. With the US Federal Reserve expected to raise interest rates soon, it appears that the US dollar could go even higher from here which would weigh on the stock prices of exporters.
  2. For companies that import goods and sell them to American consumers, it is good news. Retailers such as Target, Macys and Kohls are good examples of such companies because they buy goods abroad (in foreign currencies) and sell them in the US (thus generating US dollar income).
 
Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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