Triumphant And Tired

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What's going on?

Carmaker Stellantis reported strong results on Wednesday but it could soon be spinning its wheels.

What does this mean?

Lets start with the good news: Stellantis, the auto giant behind brands like Fiat, Peugeot, and Jeep, managed to shift last years supply shortages into reverse last quarter, reporting a healthy 14% revenue boost that beat estimates. And the bad? The firms inventories have swelled to about 1.3 million cars, with production on the up just as a grim economic outlooks dampening demand. In fact, Stellantis biggest market, North America, is facing a particularly bad inventory crunch, and thats knocked its average selling prices in the region down for the first time in ten years. Clued-investors realized that spells trouble for the firms profit margins and even Stellantis new share buyback program, worth almost $2 billion, couldnt stop them speeding away.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Pushing down and Porsching up.
Ford warned this week that carmakers might be forced to continue slashing prices. Higher production is one factor in that and mid-range manufacturers seem to face the most risk now that Teslas price-cutting is snatching away their customers. For luxury players, thats all hunky dory: with Tesla shifting downmarket, they can focus on the high-rollers whose deep pockets make price cuts less important. Just look at Aston Martin, whose average selling prices jumped 20% last quarter, or Porsche, which is raising prices after seeing red-hot demand for its fanciest models.

Zooming out: Less hiking, more driving.
Higher interest rates have been one of the things putting the squeeze on car purchases, but it looks like the hikes could now be reaching their final destination. See, the Federal Reserve hinted that Wednesdays 0.25-percentage-point hike could be the final shot in its 14-month attack on inflation. And that might create fewer potholes for drivers demand to slip into.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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