Twitter Takes Flight

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What's going on?

Twitter has had its struggles, but on Wednesday its stock jumped 10% after it reported results showing better-than-expected user growth. (tweet this)

What does this mean?

Twitter added over 9 million users in the last quarter, which was 7 million more than expected! It wasnt that long ago that Twitter was suffering from declining user numbers. But now its quarterly user growth is accelerating, jumping 7%, 11% and 14% in its latest three quarters.

Why should I care?

For the stock: Twitters ad revenue is still falling, but strong user growth is a sign that this might turn around.

Twitters stock took a hit in February when it posted a surprising decline in its ad revenue, despite improving user growth. That suggested that Twitter was struggling to monetize its users. This problem doesnt appear to have been solved in the most recent quarter since revenue fell again (although the decline was less than was feared). However, better-than-expected user growth seems to have given investors more confidence, since it should eventually lead to higher total revenue from ads.


The bigger picture: Its tough to turn around a struggling social media company.

Social media companies like Twitter are built on a network of users. Generally speaking, the more people that engage with the network, the more valuable it is both to the users and to the advertisers (whose ads generate revenue for the social network). Therefore, a shrinking user base is particularly scary for a company like Twitter (just ask MySpace). If it can continue to attract more users, however, it could become a rare example of a successfully revived social media company.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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