UK To Carry On Carrying On

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What's going on?

On the same day that another set of better-than-expected UK economic data was released, Britains central bank met but made no changes to its main policies (following major policiesannounced in August that were aimed at boosting the economy).

What does this mean?

British shoppers bought only slightly fewer things in August relative to July. That was taken as good news because July was a particularly strong month. In other words, almost keeping up with Julys pace was viewed as a positive.


Separately, the Bank of England (BoE) said it still expects the UK economy to weaken following the Brexit vote (tweet this). If that happens, the BoE says it will likely cut interest rates further in the hopes of giving the economy more of a boost.

Why should I care?

For markets: Low interest rates can hurt some companies.
Many companies (especially in the UK) maintain pension funds on behalf of their employees whereby the employees are entitled to a fixed amount of money each year once they retire. The companies put money into investments (typically bonds) to pay for this future cost. But with interest rates so low, the bonds dont offer much of a payback and, thus, the pension funds are more likely to be underfunded. Companies typically need to make up this shortfall by contributing money from their profits which means theres less leftover for shareholders (a.k.a. investors).


For you personally: Winter is coming apparently.
Theres no question that the economic data in the UK post-Brexit has been better than most economists predicted. But before Brits crack out the bunting, its important to note that there are still, likely, some serious headwinds on the way. Prices are (probably) going to go up meaningfully, which would leave less money leftover for people to spend. Most every economist still predicts the economy to slow in the coming months, which will mean (probably) a tougher job environment. Its been a nice sunny summer in more than one way. Be aware that winter is around the corner (just how cold it will be is the question).

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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UK To Carry On Carrying On

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