Unmade In China

Image source: Harvepino - Shutterstock

What's going on?

Data out on Monday showed that the profits of foreign industrial firms based in China have tanked this year.

What does this mean?

Chinas decision to lock down the economy has been weighing heavily on industrial companies, killing demand and slowing if not altogether halting production. And look, there are signs of a bounceback: profits in the sector were down just 6.5% in May from the same time last year a notable improvement from Aprils 8.5%. Trouble is, it looks like foreign firms will take a while to recover: their profits fell 16% between January and May from the same time last year, even as state-owned firms posted a 10% uptick. Thats probably because they dont have access to the same resources and insider knowledge that their counterparts do, and cant rely on big-money government contracts even when times are bleak.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Abandon ship.
No surprises, then, that more and more foreign firms are reassessing whether to keep investing in their Chinese businesses at all: survey data out last week showed that almost a quarter of European companies in the country are thinking of relocating their current or planned investments the highest proportion in a decade (tweet this). And when you consider that the Chinese government isnt wavering from its zero-tolerance Covid strategy, that proportion could be set to get even bigger.

For markets: Chinas a bargain.
Foreign businesses might be thinking about leaving the country, but investors are heading back in: Chinese stocks are up nearly 30% from mid-March, thanks in large part to easing lockdowns and supportive government policies. And with a key valuation metric showing that Chinese stocks are currently much cheaper than those in the US, a growing list of investment managers and banks are thinking about piling even more into the country.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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