Deutsche Bank: Anything But Wunderbar

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What's going on?

Deutsche Bank reported its second-quarter results on Wednesday and it wasnt pretty (its stock sold off almost 4%). Revenue fell 20% versus a year ago, its investment bank sharply underperformed its American competitors and its CEO said it might have to increase its cost-cutting program.

What does this mean?

Deutsche Bank said low interest rates were partially to blame (banks cant charge much for loans when interest rates are so low). Its CEO said that the bank would be forced to cut even more costs (its undergoing a huge restructuring program already).


But the problem with cost cuts is that they tend to affect the companys performance, e.g. laying off investment bankers leads to Deutsche Bank working on fewer deals and therefore making less money in the future. Its aggressive cost cutting already seems to be having an impact on its profit: Deutsche Banks stock and bond trading divisions severely underperformed their American competitors last quarter (remember, these big banks compete with each other globally, not just in their own regions).

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Low/negative interest rates are supposed to boost lending but hurting banks profits has the opposite effect.
The European Central Bank has pushed interest rates down to super-low levels. In theory, this encourages people and businesses to borrow and, in turn, spend money which boosts the economy. But it also makes it more difficult for banks to make money (because they cant charge as much for loans). Banks that have more money available (e.g. due to making profit) are probably going to lend out more money and so the benefit of low/negative interest rates is mitigated by its negative impact on banks’ profits (to what extent is debatable).


For you personally: Banking fees are probably going up.

Deutsche Banks CEO said that European banks were likely to raise fees (e.g. they could raise the arrangement fee that one pays when taking out a mortgage) in an attempt to protect their profits in the face of low interest rates. So you might, to some extent, be sharing the pain with banks…

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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