Trial And Errors

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What's going on?

Data out on Wednesday showed that UK inflation hit another 30-year high last month, surprising no one but the worlds top economists.

What does this mean?

Given all the talk of global price rises these days, you mightve guessed that prices of goods and services in the UK would be much higher last month than the same time last year 6.2% higher, to be precise. You might be able to teach economists a thing or two, then: theyve now underestimated inflation for eight of the past 10 months. And its not like one rogue outlier skewed results: prices were higher for 10 of the 12 tracked categories last month, including a 5.1% rise in food prices, 8.8% in clothing, and 9.2% in furniture and household equipment.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: The UK has work to do.
Those higher prices are seriously weighing on Brits: a recent survey showed that half of all those polled were cutting back on nice-to-haves like clothes, and a third were cutting back on need-to-haves like food (tweet this). That might be why the UK government just slashed its forecast for the countrys economic growth this year from 6% to 3.8%. Its trying to do its bit, mind you: it announced fuel and income tax cuts on Wednesday, and its doubled its funding of grants for struggling Brits.

Zooming out: America is such a tease.
Americans are up against it too: US inflation hit 7.9% last month, which might be why the Federal Reserve (the Fed) said this week that its preparing to hike interest rates by 0.5% double the typical 0.25% at its next meeting. But Goldman Sachs thinks the central bank is playing coy: the investment bank said its expecting the Fed to raise rates by 0.5% at its next two meetings.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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