Just Say Yes

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What's going on?

Apparently Moderna never listened to Nancy as a kid: the American biotechs shares got totally high on Wednesday after its encouraging coronavirus vaccine trial results were published late on Tuesday.

What does this mean?

Lets start with a disclaimer: its still early days for Modernas potential vaccine. But even so, its said to have produced a robust immune response in all 45 human patients that took part in its early-stage trial (tweet this). More specifically, the vaccine produced antibodies that could potentially neutralize COVID-19 and give participants at least some protection from the virus. Another disclaimer: there are still several unknowns, including how long that protection might last.



Moderna previously announced plans to enrol 30,000 new participants to take part in late-stage vaccine trials later this month. And now given the early excitement around its initial trials investors, governments, and exhausted parents worldwide will be watching the results even more closely.

Why should I care?

For markets: Spoiled for choice.


Modernas stock initially rose almost 20% on Wednesday, suggesting investors were hopeful this vaccine will be the one. Thats despite all the unknowns of drug development and the stiff competition in the market: hundreds of potential vaccines are in development, after all. News even broke on Wednesday that the University of Oxfords rival vaccine set to be produced by AstraZeneca might be even more effective than Modernas. Investors who arent brave enough to back a single winner might be inclined to put all the vaccine-developing companies into a single basket and buy that instead.



The bigger picture: A collective sigh of relief.


Even economists and companies most positive forecasts are heavily caveated with the looming risk of a coronavirus resurgence. But a vaccine could negate that risk and set the global stage for a much-hoped-for yet increasingly unlikely V-shaped recovery of both economies and company earnings alike. And that might be why stocks the world over got a nice boost from Modernas update.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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