License To Nil

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What's going on?

The Bank of England (BoE) left the UKs key interest rate unchanged on Thursday, but the central bank’s governor has said he has a license to, er, cut it below zero if he has to.

What does this mean?

The BoEs no more immune to the global economic uncertainty than anyone else, so it shied away from making predictions as it normally would. It instead outlined a scenario based on the assumption thered be a gradual reduction in lockdown measures in the third quarter of this year. In that case, the unemployment rate would rise to 9% from around 4% now, and the UK economy would shrink by 14% in 2020 its biggest decline on record before rebounding with 15% growth in 2021.


While the BoE didnt announce any new economy-supporting measures this time around, it did say its willing to do so if needed even if that means turning the countrys record-low interest rates negative like elsewhere in Europe.

Why should I care?

For markets: That infrastructure, though.


BT mightve welcomed some of that extra support: the British telecoms company announced on Thursday itd be suspending its shareholder dividend for the first time ever as a public company. But while BT would rather use that cash to complete fiber infrastructure installation plans, its investors would probably prefer the payouts, hence its share price fell 8%. Adding insult to injury was the confirmation of the mooted merger between Telefonica and Liberty Globals UK arms, which will give BT a new $38 billion rival.



For you personally: No news is bad news.


Low central bank interest rates lead to lower interest rates on your cash savings, which could encourage you to move your money into bonds or stocks to generate a higher return. But if you think youll need access to that money in the next couple of years, its probably worth suffering near-nothing interest in exchange for the certainty your cash will be there when you need it.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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