Prime The Thumps

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What's going on?

Saudi Aramco the biggest company in the world saw its first-quarter profit drop 25% on Tuesday, as the one-two punch of collapsing oil prices and falling demand battered the Saudi oil giants sales.

What does this mean?

Aramcos first-quarter earnings came in below expectations, but the worst may be yet to come. It was only in April, after all, that oil prices hit a 34-year low, suggesting the impact will probably be even more pronounced next quarter. And that may be why Aramcos decided to slash its 2020 spending by 25% (tweet this).

Fortunately for Saudi Arabia, the oil giant didnt do the same to its dividend. The Kingdom which owns around 98% of Aramco relies heavily on those payouts to cover its spending. So if they vanish and the oil price collapse continues to wreak havoc on the countrys finances the austerity measures announced on Monday could be just the beginning

Why should I care?

For markets: Parental supervision.
Big Oils generous dividends have long been a key attraction for investors, but theyre increasingly under threat. Exxon Mobil, for one, recently froze its payouts, while Royal Dutch Shells were slashed by two-thirds. So investors might simply be relieved Aramco held its ground. Then again, other oil majors arent under their governments thumbs like Aramco is: Saudi Arabia told the state-owned company to pump at maximum capacity in March, only to insist it cuts production by more than 40% two months later.

The bigger picture: No way, Norway.
Its not just Saudi Arabia feeling the heat: Norway, western Europes largest oil exporter, is facing its worst economic slump since World War II due to the collapse in oil price and demand. The country revealed on Tuesday that its withdrawing a record $37 billion from its gigantic investment fund. That would in turn force the fund the biggest in the world to sell a significant chunk of its bond holdings, which could add pressure to global bond markets.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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