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What's going on?
Data out on Monday showed the Japanese economy shrank yet again last quarter, and its chip-hungry carmakers arent exactly helping the country go places.
What does this mean?
Japans economy was 0.8% smaller last quarter than it was the quarter before a much steeper drop-off than the 0.2% economists were expecting (tweet this). Theres a couple of reasons for that: rising coronavirus cases discouraged shoppers from getting out and about, while supply chain constraints kept factories from firing on all cylinders.
But this isnt a first or even a second for Japan, whose economy has now shrunk for five of the last eight quarters. Now, then, the pressures mounting on the countrys new prime minister to get things back on track. His idea: offer households and small businesses cash handouts, in hopes itll encourage them to spend more. Still, economists are skeptical: the issue isnt that the Japanese dont have money to spend, its that they dont seem particularly fussed about spending it.
Why should I care?
The bigger picture: If you cant buy chips, make chips.
Mondays data also showed that Japanese factory production slowed down last quarter, as manufacturers like Toyota and Honda continue to wrestle in a padded thong, presumably with chip shortages. Good thing, then, that the Japanese government just unveiled plans to expand the countrys chipmaking industry, with the goal of tripling the sectors revenue by 2030.
For you personally: How about a Japanese vacation?
A newly chip-boosted manufacturing industry could work wonders on Japans economic growth and, by extension, its stocks. That, at a time when theyre looking relatively cheap: their forward price-to-earnings ratio that is, their current value relative to 2022’s forecasted profits is 30% lower than that of US stocks. That might be why Morgan Stanley thinks its time you head to the Land of the Rising Sun, recommending over the weekend that you swap your American stocks for Japanese ones.
Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.
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