Roll Back The Barrel

OPEC cut production targets

Image source:

What's going on?

Some of the worlds biggest oil-producing nations agreed on Friday to cut supply by another 500,000 barrels a day and Saudi Arabia volunteered to go even further.

What does this mean?

The oleaginous OPEC group and its allies have cut production several times over the past three years: reduced supply boosts the oil price, theoretically meaning more profit all round. But that hasnt worked in practice: only Kuwait, Angola, and Saudi Arabia have actually stuck to the deal this year, with Saudi actually cutting by more than it had to. That means its benefited less than others from higher prices.

The new agreement seems designed to encourage others to share the load especially oversuppliers like Iraq, Nigeria, and Russia (which, while not officially an OPEC member, generally follows its policies anyway). And with Saudi Arabia saying itll continue its additional supply reductions, therell now be 900,000 fewer barrels of OPEC oil produced each day next year. That may be good news for oil investors but environmentalists shouldnt get too comfortable

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Pushing a string.

These cuts may not be enough to solve OPECs biggest problem: the US is now producing lots more shale oil, meaning global supply is increasing faster than demand. And a sluggish economy isnt helping matters: demand for oil is closely linked to global economic growth. To really move the oil price up, OPEC will likely need to cut production even more something its members seem unwilling to do.

For markets: Aramcos big day.

Saudi Arabia had other big news last week: it finally announced a price for its state oil firms initial public offering (IPO). This weeks IPO will value Saudi Aramco at $1.7 trillion, making it the biggest public company in the world and its at least $26 billion fundraising will also be the biggest IPO ever. Still, Saudi authorities may be disappointed: they initially planned to raise $100 billion at a $2 trillion valuation.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

The top 2 financial news stories in 3 minutes. Join over one million Finimizers

Read next

Slack Not Taken Up

Sign up to Finimize

Get the two most important global financial news stories each day. Sent at midnight UK time.

Get started with one email a day

The top financial news stories in 3 minutes.