Suits Her

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What's going on?

On Friday, Herms maker of the iconic Birkin bag said its sales for the second quarter rose by 7% to a handbag-stuffing $1.7 billion. But the shares, which had already climbed 20% this year, simply shrugged.

What does this mean?

Chinese shoppers make up about a third of all luxury goods bought globally, so its impossible to talk about one of the industrys darlings without mentioning China. Despite recent sharp falls in the countrys stock market, thanks to slowing economic growth and real estate prices that arent increasing as quickly as they used to, making people in China feel less wealthy it appears the Chinese are still choosing to treat themselves with the odd belt or bracelet.

Why should I care?

For markets: Heaven for leather.


Excluding the effect of currency movements, sales actually rose by 12%, topping the 10% increase forecast by analysts (tweet this). Herms customers can wait literally years for a Birkin (unless youre Lucy Liu), meaning the company is more insulated than other luxury firms from any sudden reduction in demand (since its got so much of its own pent up). Herms shares have been on a tear recently, and have become quite expensive according to a common valuation measure: the stock changes hands for over 40 times the amount of profit the company generates per share.



The bigger picture: Luxury problems.


While it might be easy to assume luxury companies can charge customers whatever they want for access to their fancy clobber, Herms is actually facing a similar issue to more modestly priced consumer companies raising prices. After China cut tariffs on imports in July, Herms couldve chosen to keep prices constant and make more profit. Instead it chose to trim its prices by 4%. Investors will hope to have a clearer view of whether Herms was simply giving back to its customers or something more sinister is afoot when LVMH (owner of the Louis Vuitton and Givenchy brands) and Kering (home of Gucci) report second-quarter earnings.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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