Thar She Blows

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What's going on?

Thank goodness Maersk navigated these troubled waters without making too much mess on the poop deck: the shipping company upped its earnings expectations on Wednesday.

What does this mean?

The world is moving again: there were 1% more containers on the move last quarter compared to the same time last year, and Maersk transports around a fifth of them. And with so many shipments to make, the companys now raised its profit expectations for the second time in as many months.



Maersk doesnt even seem to be worried about the global surge in coronavirus infections. Lockdowns or no lockdowns, after all, shoppers are still spending their money. If anything, theyre spending it on flatscreens and games consoles rather than nights out with friends, which are notoriously difficult to ship in a metal container.

Why should I care?

For markets: Maersk schmaersk.


Maersks considered to be a bellwether stock for global trade, which means its recovery is a good sign for broader economic activity. Goldman Sachs might feel especially vindicated by the shipping companys outlook: the investment bank is predicting that US economic growth will reach 5.3% in 2021 far better than consensus expectations of 3.8%. As for US stocks, it reckons theyll climb from current levels by almost 20%.



The bigger picture: Bad business.


If transports back up and running, the business world doesnt seem to have got the memo: tech guru Bill Gates thinks business travel will be cut in half even when COVID-19 is under control. That isnt something airplane maker Boeing wanted to hear: airlines arent going to need as many of its planes if there are fewer people flying for work, which is the most lucrative part of air travel. Talk about bad timing: its 737 Max airplane has just been cleared to fly again after an almost two-year ban

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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