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What's going on?
Europe had una catstrofe on Friday: a flurry of nicht gut economic data showed growth in its major economies is how do you say merde.
What does this mean?
New data revealed the eurozones economy grew just 0.1% last quarter slower than the 0.2% investors were expecting. And that was down to a whole host of problmes across its major economies.
Just look at Italy: its economy shrank 0.3% last quarter, when it was actually forecast to grow by 0.1%. Things were similarly dsagrable in France, where a series of strikes (quelle surprise) seems to have killed the countrys vibe: the economy shrank last quarter, dragging annual economic growth down from 2018 levels. And over in Germany, December retail sales fell 3.3% from a month earlier significantly worse than the 0.5% growth investors were hoping for. Only Spain saw economic growth pick up, but even that was its weakest since 2014. No me gusta.
Why should I care?
For markets: Trs interessant…
Investors in France might want to take this data with a pinch of salt. One of the reasons the country underperformed last quarter was because companies were clearing out their inventories rather than making new products. Without that hopefully one-off occurrence, growth wouldve actually been positive perhaps why investment bank Barclays remains cautiously optimistic about Frances future. Whats more, investors reckon the weak data might encourage Europes central bank to cut interest rates despite increasing inflation.
The bigger picture: Yall seeing this?
The situation was better in the US, where the economy grew 2.3% last year. But thats still below 2018s 2.9% increase, and well below the 3% growth the US government expected its tax cuts to stimulate. Things dont look like theyll pick up much this year, either: growth is forecast to slow to just 1.8%. And with Novembers election looming, that could prove a sticking point for the sitting US president
Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.
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